15 June 2022
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6% and futures for the S&P 500 gained 0.8% while oil prices dipped.
Economists believe the Fed could hike rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, triple the usual increase, with the cost of living for Americans rising surprisingly fast.
A “hawkish surprise” from the Fed could be a “further shock to risk assets,” Anderson Alves of ActivTrades said in a report. “Money markets are already pricing around 90% possibility of such action.”
Turmoil in the cryptocurrency sector continued to rattle investors. Bitcoin is down 5% and close to $20,000 in early morning trading. Bitcoin has lost about a third of its value in the past week and is down almost 70% from an all-time high around $68,000 in November. Other cryptocurrencies have followed a similar trajectory and Ethereum is down almost 8% Wednesday.
In midday trading, the FTSE 100 in London and Frankfurt’s DAX both gained 1.3%. The CAC 40 in Paris advanced 1%.
The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.5% Wednesday to 3,305.41 after government data showed Chinese factory activity rebounded in May as anti-virus controls that shut down businesses in Shanghai and other industrial centers eased.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.1% to 21,308.21 while the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo lost 1.1% to 26,326.16.
The Kospi in Seoul shed 1.8% to 2,447.538 after South Korea’s unemployment rate in May ticked up 0.1 percentage point to 2.8%.
Sydney’s S&P-ASX 200 sank 1.3% to 6,601.00.
India’s Sensex gained less than 0.1% at 52,728.02. New Zealand, Jakarta and Bangkok declined while Singapore advanced.
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 lost 0.4%. It closed Monday at 21.8% below its Jan. 3 peak, officially putting the market in its second pandemic bear market.
The Dow fell 0.5% and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.2%.
Expectations of an unusually big Fed rate hike increased after government data Friday showed consumer inflation accelerated in May instead of easing as hoped.
The Fed is scrambling to get prices under control after being criticized earlier for reacting too slowly to inflation pressures.
Britain’s central bank also has raised rates. The European Central Bank says it will do so next month.
Japan’s central bank has kept rates near record lows. That has caused the yen to fall to two-decade lows below 135 to the dollar as traders shift capital in search of higher returns.
Markets also have been jolted by Russia’s attack on Ukraine, which has pushed oil prices to history-making highs above $120 per barrel, and by virus outbreaks in China that led to the closure of factories and disrupted supply chains.
In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude lost 55 cents to $118.38 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract lost $2 on Tuesday to $118.93. Brent crude, the price basis for international oil trading, shed 39 cents to $120.78 per barrel in London. It fell $1.10 the previous session to $121.17.
The dollar declined to 134.43 yen from Tuesday’s 135.30 yen. The euro gained to $1.0476 from $1.0411.
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