1 June 2022
Chances are greater that a tropical system in the Pacific Ocean could redevelop in Atlantic later this week, impacting some parts of the southeastern United States.
On June 1, the first day Atlantic hurricane season, WRAL meteorologists are tracking a system’s potential to become the first named storm of the 2022 Atlantic season.
Before it dissipated, Hurricane Agatha caused flooding and mudslides that killed at least 11 people and left 20 missing in south Mexico on Tuesday.
Agatha, the first named storm of the Pacific hurricane season, could re-emerge in the Gulf of Mexico later this week. If it gets a name in the Atlantic hurricane basin, it would be “Alex.”
WRAL meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner explained Wednesday there is an 80% chance this could happen in the next five days, however, models are not in agreement.
“One model wants to bring it 150 miles off the North Carolina coast Sunday through Monday,” WRAL meteorologist Aimee Wilmoth explained. “Obviously, this would mean some impacts for our coast. Another model keeps the system 550 miles away from N.C.”
“It looks fairly likely that it would affect Florida in some way, shape or form,” WRAL meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner said. “Even if it doesn’t become a tropical system, it will likely bring some heavy rain and some breezy conditions there.”
Models show the system either moving up the coast or turning east, moving out to sea.
Either way, “there’s not much indication that we would see landfall with this,” Gardner said.
If N.C. sees impacts late this week or early next week, it would most likely be high rip current danger.
As the weekend gets closer, models will become more clear, and we’ll get a better idea if the system will impact N.C. at all.
The latest report on this year’s hurricane season predicts another above-average number of storms will form in the Atlantic Ocean.
Experts in North Carolina say the report comes as climate change is creating more powerful hurricanes and making their behavior more dangerous as well.
Researchers expect 19 named storms and four major hurricanes to form in the north Atlantic from June to November.